SOVIET UNION
Malenkov Speech peech more bellicose and boastful
than8 address, Politburo-member Malenkov keynoted the thirty-second anniversary of the Bolshevik Revolutionepetition of the well-worn Soviet propaganda line. Although Malenkov's speech indicated that the Kremlinreater extent than ever before considers the US its principal enemy, there was no hinthange in Soviet cold war tactics or of theof well-tested Soviet subversive methods for theof economic and political goals. With regard to Germany, Malenkov's remarksontinuing Soviet desirenified Germany under Communist control and emphasized thatolution was vital to the preservation of world peace. The Communist regime in China was referred to almost deferentially, muchunior partner ratheratellite, and by linking India with Chinaecisive factor in the East-West struggle, Malenkov also implied that Chinapringboard ratheresting point for SovietLn the Far East. Malenkov's exaggerated assertions of internal economic achievements are intended to conceal the Inadequacies of the current five-year plan and prepare the way for its abandonment in0 in favormaster" plan for the entire orbit under the direction of the Council for Economic Mutual Assistance. Delivery of this Important address by Malenkov clearly established him as the number three man ln the Soviet hierarchy, ranking behind only Stalin and Molotov.
SECRET
ra
SEcWl
A
EAST
Treaty Despite the advantages to the USSR of an early end to US occupation in Japan, the Kremlin will probably prefer toeparate treaty with the Japanese Government rather than participate in peace negotiations with the western powers. The US has maintained that the treaty should be prepared by theations of the Far Easternand that decisions shouldwo-thirds majority vote. The Soviet position, allegedly based on Potsdam agreements, is that the treaty should bebytthe Foreign Ministers of the US, USSR, UK, China, and possibly France, and be subject to the veto power. The USSR probably calculates mat without its veto powers it could not be assuredreatyfavorable to Soviet interests. In the unlikely event, however, that ihe USSR participatesreaty conference for propaganda purposes or for limited obstruction the Kremlin will probably refuse to ratify the final draft. Ineparate treaty with Japan, the Soviet bargaining position would be strong in viewapan's desire to restore its natural economic ties with China, Manchuria, and Korea;apan's fear of threatening Soviet military power in Northeast Asia, particularlyreaty negotiated without the participation of the USSR failed to provide adequately, in Japanese opinion, for Japanese security.
CHINA
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Soviet Relations The early conclusionoviet-Chinese economic and cultural agreement seems likely, and the USSR, as it did in
the case of Uie Satellites, may* demand the inclusionecret military protocol which would bring China into the Soviet military network. Soviet and Chinese Communists have already developed extensiverelations designed to point up the Kremlin's technical and scientific preeminence. Supplementing the recent trade agreement with Manchurianew bilateral treaty between the USSR and China would probably formalize Soviet trade and railand renew the Soviet monopoly of air rights In Sinkiang which formerly obtained under the terms-of the agreement with the National Government.reaty might also provideoviet-controlled air route linking the USSR with Communist China. In addition, promises of Soviet technical aid in .almost all fields arc indicated by the presence in China of Soviet experts on trade, air, railways, agriculture, city planning, industrial reconstruction, public health, water supply, and housing.
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Original document.
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