HAITI: IMPLICATIONS OF ARISTIDE LANDSLIDE

Created: 12/20/1990

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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Leftist priest Jean Berrmnd Aristiae atmeett certainly news hitasmake major socioeconomic ckangwe and

eliminate Durediertst mflnrncc- The magnitude af met rictarymilitary ctmppiorten ie check fa*_nem^aeeteat likely to begin manning his

Anmde ind his advisers lick administrative experience, and his program for running Haiti is vague. Moreover, tbe coctstitutioo may compel him torime minister from another party unless his own forces have woo aa outright majority in tbc lejpsla lure. Complete legislative results are not yet available, however. J

KeyH Ppnrc desperate to prevent Arislide from taking office oo it February. Tbey probably will be reluctant tohrough on threats to kill him, however, unless the militaryuch action. Meamwhile, they probably will try to exploit fears inrmy to build support for their plans. If Duvalierist leaders fail to

muster military backing, tbey arc likely to Ooe Haiti and continue

plotting from abroad. Nevertheless, an attack on An slide by rank-

aod-filc Duvalicrtstseal possibility.

Original document.

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