GUATEMALAN SITUATION

Created: 7/9/1952

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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XSMCSillDOMDTI DISECTOB OT CENTRALSituation

Tho growing Coggnralflt tendencies of tha presenthavo alienated tho mjority of Chiatcaalana toopular uprising to overthrow the government isexpectedormal reaction. Forces supporting thoare confined to tho Cozamaiata and fellow-travelers endsaohors of the imod forces and labor who haveunder tbe present reglaa. The recent passage of thaReform let, which exdcao land available to alltho Ceonenist pattern, is expected to win further adherentsgovernment although it is opposed by the landowning class>-

influence will wane as the Act takes effect.

Armed action against the government has been plannedwsince early this year and la now lnmrlnent. Detailsr;

the plan for such action, which follows through to theH C

senteaocratie government, are known to us.

considers that If proper supoort con be provided tbe plan

feasible and practical andood chance of succeeding Ifput in effect byl -

Castillo Armas, now reeident In Tegucigalpa,the leader of the no voce ot which is supported bySj

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groups in Eondarns, El Salvador, Mexico and Guatemala; Cordova Coras, Bin Guatemala City, is Castillo's nan in

Carlos SIeocs, resident in Guntemnla City, is the loader ofanti-government group in Guatemala which is planning

action, but which la cot as yot working; in coordination with Castillo. oordination is being effooted. These three are of exceptional ability and character and are fast friends of tho.

Caatillo'a movement has the morel support of President Somoza of Nicaragua and of President Calve* of Botdures, and it la believed tbat material support from these two men would be forthcoming If thay could be assured of. approval.

Caatillo'a plan envisages moving against the government with clandestine armed forces froa the borders of Mexico, El Salvador and Honduras and froa tbe sea on Puerto Barrios in conjunction with

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tntoranl rerolt, Ho can arm the group in Mexico through purchase of notarial in that country and his other forces hare some anas available. However, he will require assistance with saterlel froa some source outside the area. Hla requests for combat air support are not considered to be necessary, but his request for airsupport should bo net. Bis requests for shipping support can bo net through procurement In the area. Sisons can procure arms locally for his part in the action. Considerable local financial support has already been obtained by both CaatlLlo and SLaons, but further support is Indicated. Castillo's Additional financial needs are estimated0 and Simons1, to include purchase of arms available in the area.

CopelusIonst

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Armed action In Ouatemala is Imminent.

The success of any aotlon undertaken without further outside support ia questionable and aay well result In tbeof all effective anti-Conmainlst opposition ia Guatemala.

In the form of direction, arss andtbe aid of area chiefs of state, finances,transport and shipping support can guarantee eof suocese,

g-o rear* ndat Ions i

two more men from, VHD be seatassistnow there in advising on operations.

support with arms and equipment be provided, (Tbesoreturnable upon successful conclusion of tha operation.)

3* That Somoza and Calves be lnfomed that any assistance they giro to Castillo will not reflect to their discredit.

financial support ia tha amount0 beamount to be reimbursable upon tbe successfulthe operation.)

5a That air transport and ocean shipping support be arrangedother parties in te roa ted In tho operation.

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