CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Created: 8/15/1953

OCR scan of the original document, errors are possible

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SUMMARY

GENERAL

)tf USSR apparently maneuvering to participate in postarmlstlce conference

FAR EAST

Islands' return reversing anti-American trend in4).

SOUTHEAST ASIA

in Indonesia of widespread arrests to take placeAugust

SOUTH ASIA

army remains calm over Kashmir crisis

NEARFRICA Comment on threat to depose the Moroccan sultan

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postarmistice political conference should include all main groups, countries and viewpoints interested in the general Issues, butj

in its prearmistice proposal lor the prisoner oi war commission the Soviet Union hadroup ofations, including itself.

jthe General Assembly should decide on the nations to

take part in the conference.

Onuly Soviet UN delegate Tsarapkinreferenceonference limited to the "two sides" in the dispute, presumably without Soviet participation, and argued that the General Assembly had no responsibility under the armistice agreement to name the participants.

in approach may be hg UN members, Including Britain and France, in favor of inviting the USSR as well as India to participateroad conference. The US favors awith the General Assembly designating representatives from among theN nations which fought in Korea with the Communists deciding on their own representation, which could Include the USSR

Kremlin may now see an opportunity for gaining Indirect recognition of Communist ChinaN recom-mentatlon for Peiplng's participation in the conference. Theprobably also wishes to avoidoviet bid for participation rejected and accordingly may be waitingoalescence of Western sentiment beforeirm position on the membership question.

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FAR EAST

) iiimami Islands' return reversing anti-American trend in Jajta:

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return of the Amamt Islands to Japanugust may have reversed the tide of anti-Americanism which had been gathering momentum during the past six months, [

It is also the first '

postoccupation action toignificantly favorable effect on the generally leftist Japanese intelligentsia and publicists.

Comment: The return of the islandsajor source of friction between the United States and Japan. The Japanese press contrasted their return with the Soviet Union's failure to recognize Japan's historic rights to the Habomai and Shlkotan islands north of Japan. The press also acknowledged that American retention of the remaining Ryukyu and the Bonln islands was necessary for Japanese security.

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SOUTHEAST ASIA

Rumors In Indonesia of widespread arrests to take place on

are current in highcircles that the new defenseto arrest the leaders of theand other opposition parties,as nign army officers, on [he eve ofugust,The

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cnargesoiiaoorauon wun tne uarul

rumors reflect the general uneasiness prevailing since the installa-tion of Indonesia's Communist-influenced cabinet.

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One objective of the new government is the removal of strongly anti-Communist officers from the army high command. There have been no reports to indicate that this would be accomplished by widespread arrests.

The circulation of such rumors,will bring added support to thoseoup d'etat. Regular armed forces units of considerable strength have moved into Djakarta, ostensibly for Independence day celebrations.

ASIA

4. Pakistani army remains calm over Kashmir crisis:

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army headquarters near Kashmir Is maintaining an attitude of complete calm with regard to the recent developments in Indian-held Kashmir,

The Paki-

army is not contemplatingof leaves and does not plan to move additional troops into the area.

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that despite conflicting rumors the resident general and the sultan willompromise, the exact nature of which may not be made public. An acceptable compromise must enable the French to claim that the sultan has accepted their demands and yet not alienate the sultan's following.

JPremler Laniel, Foreign jvnmsier piuauu, aimen^

i-tttl^'GuiUaume are confidentan use the current situation to

fdrce the sultan to accept the French reform program. The French authorities are alsoosition to bring sufficient pressure on El Glaoui, the sultan's chief opponent, to prevent him from upsetting the status quo.

While the possibility of clashes between rival factions exists, it is not probable that large-scale disturbances will occur since0 French security forces are capable of maintaining order. Basic tensions will not be alleviated, however, and El Glaoui and his supporters will continue toource of trouble.

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Original document.

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