SENIOR EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

Created: 8/30/2000

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Colombia: Cartagena Likely Quiet, bat Not Rest of Country

Labor unions plan urtauthorizcd proles Is in and around Cartagena, but Kx-urity is tight Lbcrc. making viojenl acooti by irrsurgcci groups or rrafiVckers unlikely within the city lirnits.

Colombia's insurgen: groups rhe Rcvolulionar)irves of Colombiathe National Liberation Armyjmcmbers in Cartagena, but they mainlyin extortion and intelligence, not

The insurgents may carry oul violent acts in other areas of Colombia to overshadow President Qinion's visit and discourage US suppon for Plan Colombia, tbey may target US oefsoonel or installarions.

Bases at which US personnel areas those at Larandia, Tres Esquinas, and San Jose del Guaviare- may be attractive targets, but because they are relatively well defended, large-scale assaults would risk high insurgent casualties, making harassment more likely.

The FARC has warned US trainers to abandon me Larandia airbase area in southern Colombia

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