05/25/1961 -- SOUTH KOREA -- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY REVIEW

Created: 11/29/2000

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Current Intelligence Weekly Review

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SOUTH KOREA

There are Indicationsrowing split In the Supreme Council for National Reconstruction between Ha j. Gen. Pak Chang-hut. architect of tbeay coup, and Army Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Chang To-yong, titular head of the council. Chang Is believed to favor an earlyto civilian government rather than an Indefinite period of military rule. The new group lacks capable administrators, particularly In tbe economic field, where growing confusion has brought business activities almosttandstill. While there is no evidence of North Korean military preparations to take advantage of the unsettled situation, dissension within tbe coup group could make South Korea increasingly susceptible to Communist propaganda and subversion.

SOITH

Supreme Council for National Reconstruction, thegroup which baa control ot the government In South Korea, Is continuing to consolidate Its position and to neutralizesources ol opposition. However, there are indications that coup strongman Maj. Gen. Pak Chong-hui is beconlngdispleased with Army Chief of Staff Lt. Own. Chang To-yong, who la believed toelatively early return to civilian government. Should Chang be forced out of tbe ruling Junta, the regime would probably be strongly influenced by Junior officers who desire an abrupt break with tbe past and anperiod Of military rule.

The retention of President Yun Po-sun a* chief of state has given tbe insurgenta semblance of Government ministries have been reopenedew all-mllltary cabinet appointed. However, administrative and technical talent la scarce, and most of those who qualify for important positions are tainted by association with either the Chang Myon or Rhee.

The shortage of capable senior personnel Is particularly apparent in tbe economic field. The reglne has taken stopgaptoerious dislocation of tbe economy, but there are Indications ofstagnation. Bank of Korea officials report that mounting administrative confusion iseconomic activity.

The new governnent isto improve living Unless it can fulfill Its economic promises, ltwill experience the sane public antipathy aa tho Chang administration.

Apprehension la developing among educated civilians over

tho repressive tactics of the military rulers. Political parties and organizations bave been ordered abolished, and most nenbers of the formerhave been placed under house arrest or imprisoned. ationwide roundup of alland suspected Communists Is under way. According to local press reports,ersons, many of them probably hoodlums and criminals, have bevn seized. Strict press and radio censor-shlp has been Imposed, and many persons are reportedly listening to Communist broadcasts from Pyongyang for news of events in South Korea.

Asian Communists, whose cautious initial reaction to the coupack ofinformation, have now taken the measure of Seoul's nswand hostile propaganda has mounted steadily during the past week. Pclplng'a People's Dally charged In an editorial oray that the US atage-managed the coup to maintain itsrule."

Speakingallyn Pyongyang onay, North Korean Vice Premier Kin II called on the South Korean population to amaali the coup; Pyongyang earlier had urged all South Korean military personnel to resist the coup leaders. The Nortb Koreans havs used thesituation to renew their call for reunification, clalnlng that only by Joining with the "self-sufficient" economy or tbe North can South Korea solve its economic problems.

While there Is no evidence Of North Korean ml lmfWwWIWnlKIgiSt

tions to tsHe

unsettled situation, dissension within the coup group could make South Korea increasingly susceptible to Commuiilat propa-ganda and subveralon.

SECltLi

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