Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables

Article Abstract:

Univariate models are analyzed for forecasting the European Monetary Union (EMU) macroeconomic variables. The average linear methods or the pooling methods provide comparatively good forecasts whereas non-linear specifications are successful in providing a forecast of a percentage of the macroeconomic variables that are being analyzed.

Author: Marcellino, Massimliano
Europe, Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Models, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Macroeconomics, European monetary union

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A growth cycle characterisation and forecasting of the Spanish economy: 1970-1998

Article Abstract:

The growth cycles of Spain's economy from 1970-98 are used as a forecasting tool to assist in determining when the next change will take place in the economy.

Author: Garcia-Ferrer, Antonio, Queralt, Ricardo, Blazquez, Cristina
Economics, Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities, Spain, Statistical Data Included, Analysis, Economic aspects, Business cycles

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