Article Abstract:
US equities could attract more foreign investment as the dollar rises in value in late 1995. Data on the US economy gives conflicting messages with static retail sales for Aug 1995, and generally benign inflation indicators. Industrial production data in contrast were buoyant, and this has dispelled hopes for a drop in interest rates. If growth is moderate and inflation kept under control, share prices could continue to rise by 5% in the six to twelve months from Sep 1995.
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Article Abstract:
The UK stock market has been undergoing a bull run, and price rises are likely in Aug 1995. Share prices tended to perform well in August during bull runs. Prices have become more volatile and movements upwards or downwards have been more than 3% in five of the 7 years since 1987. Prices also tend to rise on Wall Street during August though this can be influenced by the behavior of prices in the preceding July. Price falls in July may be followed by an August fall.
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Article Abstract:
US economic growth appears to be recovering following a pause in 1st half 1995. Figures have been revised upward for 2nd qtr 1995, and unemployment dropped in Aug 1995. Average earnings per week and per hour have fallen as working weeks have shortened. Investors are expecting a reduction in interest rates if growth slows more than expected. Takeovers in the media and banking have a greater impact on share prices than concern over growth rates.
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