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A semi-Markov model for primary health care manpower supply prediction

Article Abstract:

A semi-Markov formulation is developed for modeling the transition of nurse practitioners, physicians, and physician assistants between various settings and locations in a given geographic locale: Washington State. The model assesses the future supply of primary care givers over a planning horizon. Model predictions are then contrasted with estimates of future demand and need for primary care for a community. Statistical validation tests and sensitivity analysis of the model are also done to assess the appropriateness of the semi-Markov approach. Model run results indicate that overall primary care demand will be more than satisfied in Washington State by 1990, and the result is not dependent on location being urban or rural. Findings do not preclude the fact that pockets of inadequate rural or inner service in the state may exist.

Health aspects, Analysis, Usage, Health planning, Labor supply, Labor force, Washington, Markov processes, Supply and demand, Washington (State)

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The impact of interorganizational manpower flows on the innovation process

Article Abstract:

A survey of 56 food processing companies, regarding staffing levels, manpower flows and innovation, indicates that changes in manpower flows are most often identified with radical innovation, rather than gradual innovation, and that the relationship of net manpower flows to innovation outcomes is best graphed as an inverted 'u'. In practical terms, the survey shows that these companies believe that new employees can stimulate innovation, but that too many new employees will disrupt company operations. The firms surveyed also indicated that new employees can stimulate innovation most easily when they are given visible job positions, noticeable job titles, and some autonomy in a decentralized organization.

Research, Industrial research, Technological innovations

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Aggregation in Manpower Planning

Article Abstract:

In manpower planning, as in all other kinds of planning, an important choice is the level of aggregation. The proper level of aggregation depends on the flexibility (mobility) of the personnel. This dependency is investigated. The manpower system considered is characterized by two dimensions, level and function group. Conditions are derived for aggregate long-term planning (aggregation over function group) combined with one-period disaggregation being optimal.

Management science, Business planning, Personnel, Organizational Behavior, Manpower Planning

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